New voters alone is one of the many reasons why Trump won in 2024 and lost in 2020

2024 election:



Compare the above with the 2020 election:



Or the 2016 election:



Of the 5 key states that gave Trump the win in 2024 and Biden in 2020, first time voters in WI and MI were deciders in 2024 (and PA, GA and AZ swung right amongst non-first timers).

2024 five key states:







2020 five key states: