[personal profile] ionelv
OpenDemocracy.net published in August the best explainer I read so far on Kamala Harris' Israel-Palestine position. The interesting thing is that it acknowledges that her position to the left of Biden is trying to appease the wavering/bleeding leftmost progressive flank support, but it does not really mention that her shift presents the danger of leaking support on its more conservative rightmost flank, especially with its Zionist and protestant Christian strong Israel supporters.

By talking more progressive and doing Zionist things is at best threading a very narrow winning path different enough but not too different from Biden's and Trump's Zionist positions and at worst, effectively having her cake (now) and eating it too (later) by appearing progressive enough before the election and then staying the usual US course on Israel after (e.g. its #1 and often sole enabler diplomatically, militarily and economically as it has been for half+ century).

I will give Kamala (a very slim) benefit of the doubt, but I put the chance of a fair two-state solution and rapid Israel war deescalation (to some pre-October 7 normalcy or at the very least a near-complete detachment of the US war and diplomatic machine from the Palestinian genocide) within Harris' first term at around 15%. I will be happy if I am proven wrong, and ecstatic if very wrong.

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