US 2020 Presidential Election
Feb. 21st, 2020 06:23 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
ionelvUp until the debate Wednesday night, I thought that Bloomberg will win the Dem nomination. After his bludgeoning, I am not so certain anymore. IMO, NH primary results are indicative of national sentiment: a fractured primary that leans to the center away from Sanders if one counts the votes.
This probably means that no clear majority winner will emerge by convention time, so there will be horse trading and haggling that will most likely nominate a centrist. I am fairly certain that it won't be the left flank (Bernie), the bumbling Biden, or the right flank (the two mayors). So it will most likely be either Klobuchar or Warren. I give it a 50/50 with slight advantage for Warren.
This probably means that no clear majority winner will emerge by convention time, so there will be horse trading and haggling that will most likely nominate a centrist. I am fairly certain that it won't be the left flank (Bernie), the bumbling Biden, or the right flank (the two mayors). So it will most likely be either Klobuchar or Warren. I give it a 50/50 with slight advantage for Warren.
