Today's headlines included something about the
Uncommitted Movement non-endorsement of Harris (due to Biden-Harris Israel-Gaza recent policy). I say this is a
nothing burger. As a proxy, let's look at the uncommitted voters in the 2024 Democratic primaries and compare them to 1996 and 2012 (last two times sitting Democratic presidents ran for a 2nd term) and notice that there were more uncommitted voters in 2012 and slightly less in 1996 (percentage wise):
| Year | Pct Uncommitted | President's pct of total primary voters |
|---|
| 1996 | 3.8% | 89% |
| 2012 | 6% | 88.9% |
| 2024 | 4.25% | 87.1% |
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