I had a few thoughts about America's future while reading this LARB exchange between Codrescu, Crăiuțu and Brădățan about American immigrants and America's evolution since 1991.

The exchange between them is a good read, although I wonder what they would have said were it not for their sunk cost fallacy (very common in immigrants from behind the Iron Curtain) and "fript cu ciorba" phenomenon. I find the whole idea of self-identifying as an American, Romanian, Ardelean, etc, a big trap and sink of energy, a mirage that only leads one away from self-actualization. Over-identifying with one's country of residence (or birth) feeds strife (that often leads to war) and even stokes smoldering genocidal tendencies within any aggrieved (usually) majority subgroup.

For humanity's sake, I hope we eventually learn to live peacefully with each other and do away with ultrapatriotism, artificial borders, skin-deep race illusions, proselytizing religions, social castes, greed, and us vs them mentalities.

As for America's future, I foresee lots of chaos and economic gloom in the coming decades with little upside potential, e.g.

  • increased polarization and declining standard of living wrought by a schizophrenic power seesaw between
    • the party of lawyers and mega-corporations that (mostly) pretends to care about the little guy, and
    • the party of those that want to own the libs while sucking up to billionaires and religious nuts,
  • a fizzling economic power overtaken by a fast-emerging China and that does not know how to deleverage its sky-rocketing debt burden (with incalculable long-term negative effects in US),
  • increasing bananization and increasingly skewed power distribution (given the increasing influence of a vampiric MICC and maniacal billionaires).


If America is to survive, something big needs to change and I mostly see dark clouds on the horizon, foreshadowing storms that will only worsen things (without even counting the slow-boiling impending climate catastrophe or the [morally legitimate] newest front of its perpetual war which will surely evolve into the much anticipated US-China War).

At the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, I pointed out that the best path to end the war is to go after the head(s) of the aggressor, similar to US's Operation Vengeance in WW2. It now appears that the Ukrainians are doing exactly this: 4th Russian general killed.

As Russia fully attacked all of Ukraine, there was mention in the news of the 1994 Budapest Memorandum in which supposedly US and UK provided Ukraine assurances of defending its borders. Here are its relevant parts (my emphasis added):


1. The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United States of America reaffirm their commitment to Ukraine, in accordance with the principles of the Final Act of the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe, to respect the independence and sovereignty and the existing borders of Ukraine;

2. The Russian Federation, the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the United States of America reaffirm their obligation to refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine, and that none of their weapons will ever be used against Ukraine except in self-defence or otherwise in accordance with the Charter of the United Nations;

3-6. [Blah]

This Memorandum will become applicable upon signature.

[...]

For Ukraine: (Signed) Leonid D. KUCHMA

For the Russian Federation: (Signed) Boris N. YELTSIN

For the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland: (Signed) John MAJOR

For the United States of America: (Signed) William J. CLINTON

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