Is all the hubbub around Trump potentially winning the 2024 election, missing the larger story and long trend in American history? Here are a few interplaying undercurrents that have brought Trump to the forefront (and will continue to bring other populists like him on both sides of the political spectrum, e.g. Bernie Sanders):
  • The continuous offshoring of the US economy (since Nixon): maquiladoras, and others through free-trade agreements (e.g. WTO, NAFTA/USMCA) that is most visible in imbalances of trade or Fed Debt ballooning and foreign ownership
  • The relentless destruction of unions and the pauperization of the lower middle class (e.g. compare 1950s vs 2020s blue-collar workers)
  • The anti-intellectual undercurrent that was weaponized into divide-and-conquer strategies that resulted in the rural underemployed mostly white protestant conservative lower middle class pitted against the non-rural liberal non-protestant upper middle class and non-white minorities on emotional "value" issues (e.g. abortion, second amendment, religion, LGBTQ+, affirmative action, misogyny, libertarian principles, virulent anti-leftism).
  • The undue influence of deep-pocketed lobbyists (e.g. military industry, lawyers, financiers, banks) and moneyed opinion shapers (foreign and domestic) over legislation, public spending and mainstream narrowband discourse
  • The systemic inequalities (e.g. voting mechanisms, SCOTUS, Senate, gerrymandering) that favor certain classes over others (e.g. rich, white)
  • The chronic underfunding and sapping of the social net (e.g. healthcare, pensions) and public infrastructure (e.g. education, public media, public transport)
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